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Risk Calculator

Risk Formula

1. What is a Risk Calculator?

Definition: This calculator estimates the risk associated with an event based on its probability of failure and the consequence of that failure.

Purpose: It assists in decision-making by quantifying potential risks in areas like finance, safety, or project management.

2. How Does the Calculator Work?

The calculator uses the formula:

\( \text{Risk} = P \times C \)

Where:

  • \( P \): Probability of Failure (as a decimal, input as a percentage).
  • \( C \): Consequence of Failure (e.g., monetary value or severity score).
  • \( \text{Risk} \): The calculated risk value, reflecting the expected impact.

Steps:

  • Input the probability of failure (as a percentage) and the consequence of failure.
  • Validate: Probability between 0% and 100%, consequence non-negative.
  • Calculate the risk as the product of probability and consequence.
  • Round to 4 decimal places and display the result.

3. Importance of Risk Calculations

These calculations are key for:

  • Financial Planning: Assessing investment risks.
  • Safety Assessment: Evaluating potential hazards.
  • Project Management: Identifying contingency needs.

4. Using the Calculator

Examples:

  • Probability = 12%, Consequence = 2000 (e.g., investment loss):
    • \( \text{Risk} = 0.12 \times 2000 = 240.0000 \).
    • Result: 240.0000 (e.g., $240 expected loss).
  • Probability = 7%, Consequence = 5000 (e.g., equipment failure cost):
    • \( \text{Risk} = 0.07 \times 5000 = 350.0000 \).
    • Result: 350.0000 (e.g., $350 expected cost).

5. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q: What if the probability exceeds 100%?
A: The calculation is invalid, and an error is displayed.

Q: Can the consequence be zero?
A: Yes, it indicates no impact if the event occurs.

Q: What units should I use for consequence?
A: Any consistent unit (e.g., dollars, severity score) based on your context.

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