1. What is Intrinsic Value Calculator?
Definition: This calculator computes the intrinsic value of a stock using Benjamin Graham's formulas, guiding value investing decisions.
Purpose: Helps investors identify undervalued stocks by comparing intrinsic value to market price.
2. How Does the Calculator Work?
The calculator supports two modes:
Initial Formula:
\( V = \text{EPS} \times (8.5 + 2g) \)
Where:
- \( V \): Intrinsic Value (dollars/share)
- \( \text{EPS} \): Earnings Per Share (dollars/share)
- \( g \): Expected Growth Rate (decimal)
Revised Formula:
\( V = \text{EPS} \times (8.5 + 2g) \times \frac{4.4}{Y} \)
Where:
- \( Y \): Current AAA Bond Yield (decimal)
- \( 4.4 \): 1962 risk-free return rate (%)
Steps:
- Select calculation mode (Initial or Revised).
- Enter EPS and growth rate; for revised mode, add bond yield.
- Apply the formula and display with 2 decimal places.
3. Importance of Intrinsic Value
Calculating intrinsic value is crucial for:
- Valuation: Identifies stocks trading below their true worth.
- Investment Safety: Provides a margin of safety against market volatility.
- Long-Term Strategy: Aligns with Graham’s value investing principles.
4. Using the Calculator
Example 1 (Initial): EPS = $5.00, g = 0.10:
- EPS: $5.00
- Growth Rate: 0.10
- Intrinsic Value: \( 5.00 \times (8.5 + 2 \times 0.10) = 5.00 \times 8.7 = 43.50 \) dollars/share
- Result: \( 43.50 \) dollars/share
Example 2 (Revised): EPS = $2.50, g = 0.10, Y = 0.05:
- EPS: $2.50
- Growth Rate: 0.10
- Bond Yield: 0.05
- Intrinsic Value: \( 2.50 \times (8.5 + 2 \times 0.10) \times \frac{4.4}{0.05} = 2.50 \times 8.7 \times 88 = 1,909.40 \) dollars/share
- Result: \( 1,909.40 \) dollars/share
Example 3 (Revised, Adjusted): EPS = $5.00, g = 0.15, Y = 0.04:
- EPS: $5.00
- Growth Rate: 0.15
- Bond Yield: 0.04
- Intrinsic Value: \( 5.00 \times (8.5 + 2 \times 0.15) \times \frac{4.4}{0.04} = 5.00 \times 8.8 \times 110 = 4,840.00 \) dollars/share
- Result: \( 4,840.00 \) dollars/share
5. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: What is a good intrinsic value?
A: A stock is undervalued if its market price is below the intrinsic value; use a margin of safety.
Q: Why adjust for bond yield?
A: It reflects current interest rates, adjusting the formula for economic conditions since 1962.
Q: Where to find EPS and growth rate?
A: EPS from income statements, growth rate from analyst forecasts or historical data.
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